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Supportive mid-points and fresh buybacks
HELIOS UNDERWRITING PLC (Helios) released its Q425 quarterly Lloyd’s of London syndicate mid-points for the 2023 and 2024 years of account (YOA) on 9 April 2026. The mid-points, which provide guidance on the ultimate expected underwriting performance of the syndicates, have shown positive development over the past quarter and are supportive of our earnings forecasts for the company in FY25 and FY26. With large 2023 YOA profits expected to be realised in May 2026, Helios has

Adam Strydom
10 hours ago1 min read


Helios Underwriting — Strong distribution pipeline
HELIOS UNDERWRITING PLC (Helios) is set to benefit from strong cash generation as its syndicate investments start distributing dividends relating to very profitable business written since 2022. Under its new IFRS accounting standard, it is classified as an investment company, and we forecast strong dividend income of £19.9m in FY25, growing to £37.6m in FY26. The cash from syndicates could be used to pay down debt and fund shareholder distributions on top of the recent £7.3m

Adam Strydom
Apr 81 min read


Rise in PGMs and Higher Production Guidance
Sylvania Platinum Limited ’s production in Q226 remained strong at 24,642oz for 4E platinum group metals (PGMs), slightly up on the previous record in Q126. PGM prices started rallying in December 2025, ahead of our expectations. Our new PGM forecasts are between 50% and 90% higher for FY26, driving earnings upgrades. We upgrade FY26 EPS by 52% to 35.2 US cents, FY27 EPS by 133% to 64.8 US cents and FY28 EPS by 143% to 69.0 US cents. Allowing for PGM prices to reverse from FY

Adam Strydom
Feb 51 min read


2026 Outlook for SA Life Assurers
ALG Newsletter - 2026 outlook for SA life assurers. After a strong 2025 with a total return of over 21%, the SA life assurance index remains attractively positioned for 2026. While the battle for the mass market heats up, we see upside potential from asset-based fees, j-curve earnings, growing shareholder distributions and enhanced disclosure. A low inflation environment may offer challenges. We see undervalued players with share buybacks like Momentum and Old Mutual as b

Adam Strydom
Jan 151 min read


Strong Tailwinds for SA Insurers
ALG Newsletter - Strong tailwinds for SA insurers. Listed SA insurers are benefiting from strong underwriting and market tailwinds, while life assurers are facing increased competition in the mass retail space. All stocks will benefit from near-term tailwinds, but undervalued players with share buybacks like Momentum and Old Mutual are better positioned for relative performance. 21 November 2025 Reach out to find more about Austin Lawrence Gidon 's ranking table for SA i

Adam Strydom
Nov 21, 20251 min read


Uplift in Production and PGM Prices Outlook
Sylvania Platinum Limited ’s production in Q126 continued to accelerate, reaching a record high of 24,522oz for 4E platinum group metals (PGMs) and 31,234oz for 6E. Net profit continued to recover thanks to record production, a rising PGM basket price and healthy unit cost control. We lift our FY26 4E forecast to 92,000oz, ahead of company guidance, and as a result upgrade our FY26 EPS by 7.3% to 23.18 US cents. We also introduce small earnings upgrades for FY27 and FY28 and

Adam Strydom
Nov 6, 20251 min read


Shifting New Business Dynamics
ALG Newsletter - Shifting new business dynamics. Listed SA life assurers recently reported very strong 30 June 2025 results from an earnings and shareholder distribution point of view, but it came with a caveat. They reported much lower mass retail volumes and only modest growth for affluent retail. While the affluent space is mature and highly competitive, the weak mass retail production is almost all due to significant market share gains by Capitec Insurance. Reach to fin

Adam Strydom
Oct 15, 20251 min read


High Chrome Price Support Outlook
Sylvania Platinum Limited ’s strong FY25 production and a higher platinum group metals (PGM) basket price resulted in 2.9x higher EPS of 7.7 US cents versus Edison Group 's forecast of 5.1 US cents. Edison's outlook for the Sylvania Dump Operations (SDO) is largely unchanged, except for a slight (3.3%) increase in cost forecasts due to a weaker dollar. The outlook for the Thaba joint venture (JV) has improved, thanks to attractive chrome prices, despite a slower ramp-up to s

Adam Strydom
Sep 17, 20251 min read


Growing Retail Presence
BANCO BAI ( BAI) is the largest Angolan bank by assets. It is a money centre, institutional-focused bank, with high investment and trading revenue, funded by a diversified deposit base. Its strong capital base and solvency position it for growth in an Angolan economic upswing. BAI’s low loan-to-deposit ratio provides optionality in the long term to drive higher returns on assets and equity. It started to roll out credit more strongly during FY24, a trend that has continued i

Adam Strydom
Aug 13, 20251 min read


Uplift in Production and PGM Prices Outlook
Sylvania Platinum Limited 's Q425 results included a fourth straight quarterly production improvement, a 13.5% increase in the platinum...

Adam Strydom
Aug 13, 20251 min read


Topical Issues for SA Life Assurers
ALG Newsletter - Topical issues for SA life assurers. On the back of an easing in Middle East tensions, bond yields have declined, the...

Adam Strydom
Jul 10, 20251 min read


Underwriting - Harder For Longer
ALG Newsletter - Underwriting - Harder for longer? Santam Insurance's 1Q25 operational update may point to a harder-for-longer...

Adam Strydom
May 21, 20251 min read
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